Economic Models & Inequality
How AI reshapes economies, wealth distribution, and economic power — including the role of data as an economic asset and the gap between richer and poorer countries and regions.
Trajectory
Deepening dependency and crisis
Main driver
Oligopoly control; bilateral concessions for AI access
Leading actors
Corporate oligopoly
State in 2040
Oligopoly controls economy; states subordinate
The economy and society are highly dependent on AI technologies controlled by a corporate oligopoly. Because of their economic and military dependence on major technology companies, the majority of states and populations tolerate this state of affairs. In the face of economic crises, some countries conclude bilateral agreements with tech giants to secure privileged access to AI technology in return for additional concessions. Smaller companies and governments are increasingly reliant on these corporations. The collapse of effective multilateral cooperation was accelerated by escalating international disputes over water and energy.
