TRANSFORMATION SCENARIO Collective identity and experience: an AI order for the common good
Theme: Infrastructure & Resources

Theme 4 of 9

Infrastructure & Resources

Who controls and has access to the physical and digital infrastructure that AI depends on – including computing power, energy, data centres, and critical raw materials.


Trajectory

Decentralisation and widened access

Main driver

Subsidy/infrastructure-as-a-service commitments

Leading actors

Wealthy states; technology cooperatives

State in 2040

Infrastructure-as-a-service; Global South access

A global infrastructure revolution emerges through the widespread use of quantum computers and decentralised, energy-efficient AI systems that are accessible and cost-effective. Open source dominates completely. Wealthier countries and companies are obliged to grant poorer regions access to AI infrastructure through subsidies or infrastructure-as-a-service models. Self-Explaining AI democratises the technological knowledge required to build and maintain data infrastructures.


SCENARIO TIMELINE

2025 TREND: Concentrated
2030 TREND: Decentralised pilots emerging
2035 TREND: Open source dominates
2040 STATE: Infrastructure-as-a-service; Global South access

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