AI Technology Development
The pace, direction, and control of advances in AI – including breakthroughs, risks, and who benefits from new capabilities.
Trajectory
Open, transparent development
Main driver
Open-source movement; led from the Global South
Leading actors
India-Brazil-South Africa alliance
State in 2040
Open, transparent; AGI Wild Card with safety
Self-Explaining AI – systems whose decision-making processes are not only transparent but communicated in a comprehensible, contextualised, and individualised way – significantly shapes global AI development by 2040. This was published in 2035 as an open-source project by an alliance of research institutions, tech companies and civil society from India, Brazil, and South Africa, changing the global balance of power. Wild Card: AGI reached; breakthroughs in AI safety and reliability achieved globally.