Military AI & Security
How AI is used in military contexts, arms races, autonomous weapons, and international security — and what governance frameworks exist or are needed to manage these risks.
Trajectory
Toward binding arms control
Main driver
Concern over uncontrolled military AI
Leading actors
CTAA; treaty signatories (incl. Russia, N. Korea)
State in 2040
AI Control Treaty adopted; some abstentions
GTAA’s greatest success was the International AI Control Treaty adopted in 2039, comparable to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. It was negotiated as a reaction to growing concerns about uncontrolled AI development for military purposes. Even Russia and North Korea formally signed the treaty, albeit with reservations. Sceptical technology companies were also persuaded to cooperate through a combination of incentives and trade restrictions.