AI Governance & Regulation
The rules, institutions, and processes that shape how AI is developed, deployed, and held accountable — from national laws to international frameworks and multi-stakeholder agreements.
Trajectory
Strong, disciplined global rule-making
Main driver
Demand for global regulation after failures
Leading actors
CTAA; OECD (China-dominated from 2034); EU
State in 2040
CTAA operational; AI Control Treaty (2036)
In 2038, the GDC merged with other initiatives to become the Global Technology Alignment Authority (GTAA), a UN organisation responsible for the technical review and risk assessment of AI systems. GTAA’s greatest success was the International AI Control Treaty adopted in 2039 — comparable to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty — reacting to concerns about uncontrolled AI development for military purposes. The EU successfully established its AI Act as an influential international blueprint.