Infrastructure & Resources
Who controls and has access to the physical and digital infrastructure that AI depends on – including computing power, energy, data centres, and critical raw materials.
Trajectory
Controlled, more sustainable distribution
Main driver
Binding access agreements; sustainability push
Leading actors
International agreements; open-source community
State in 2040
Controlled distribution; open source dominant
International agreements regulate access to AI resources, and open source dominates AI development. Countries invest heavily in sustainable data centres to minimise energy consumption and environmental impact. States and supranational organisations conclude binding agreements ensuring that AI resources such as computing power are made accessible to resource-poorer countries. Strict regulations on technology transfer ensure a controlled distribution of AI resources and expertise.