DISCIPLINE SCENARIO Uniformity and stability: strict rules, controlled progress
Theme: Economic Models & Inequality

Theme 5 of 9

Economic Models & Inequality

How AI reshapes economies, wealth distribution, and economic power – including the role of data as an economic asset and the gap between richer and poorer countries and regions.


Trajectory

Controlled growth reducing inequality

Main driver

Regulated data value; targeted Global South investment

Leading actors

Governments; international agreements

State in 2040

Fairer distribution; data value regulated

New economic models prioritise controlled growth. Governments are increasingly regulating the economic value of data and holding large tech companies more accountable. International agreements promote targeted investment in digital infrastructure in the Global South, thereby reducing income differences. Strict global regulations on technology transfer ensure a controlled but fairer distribution of AI resources and capabilities.


SCENARIO TIMELINE

2025 TREND: Moderate inequality
2030 TREND: Controlled growth model emerges
2035 TREND: Targeted Global South investment
2040 STATE: Fairer distribution; data value regulated

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