DISCIPLINE SCENARIO Uniformity and stability: strict rules, controlled progress
Theme: Infrastructure & Resources

Theme 4 of 9

Infrastructure & Resources

Who controls and has access to the physical and digital infrastructure that AI depends on — including computing power, energy, data centres, and critical raw materials.


Trajectory

Controlled, more sustainable distribution

Main driver

Binding access agreements; sustainability push

Leading actors

International agreements; open-source community

State in 2040

Controlled distribution; open source dominant

International agreements regulate access to AI resources, and open source dominates AI development. Countries invest heavily in sustainable data centres to minimise energy consumption and environmental impact. States and supranational organisations conclude binding agreements ensuring that AI resources such as computing power are made accessible to resource-poorer countries. Strict regulations on technology transfer ensure a controlled distribution of AI resources and expertise.

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