AI Technology Development
The pace, direction, and control of advances in AI — including breakthroughs, risks, and who benefits from new capabilities.
Trajectory
Slow, controlled progress
Main driver
Mandatory ethics-by-design and safety guarantees
Leading actors
CTAA; national regulators
State in 2040
Slow, controlled; trustworthy systems prioritized
Progress in AI development is slow, since innovations are controlled in a targeted manner. Priority is given to developing reliable and secure systems that must meet strict requirements. Ethics by design and quantitative safety guarantees become mandatory before AI systems can be deployed in safety-critical areas. The focus on safety and transparency slows development but increases trustworthiness.