GROWTH SCENARIO Technology rivalry instead of collaboration: the race for AI supremacy
Theme: Economic Models & Inequality

Theme 5 of 9

Economic Models & Inequality

How AI reshapes economies, wealth distribution, and economic power — including the role of data as an economic asset and the gap between richer and poorer countries and regions.


Trajectory

Widening inequality; market fragmentation

Main driver

Tech-giant dominance and uneven AI access

Leading actors

US Big Tech; global tech giants

State in 2040

Extreme inequality; tech giants dominant

The integration of AI into business and finance by 2040 has further strengthened the power of major tech companies, presenting international governance mechanisms with challenges in terms of market regulation, data control, and technological standards. This not only contributes to the fragmentation of global markets, but also increases social inequalities, as access to advanced AI technology and the resulting economic benefits are subject to uneven distribution. Income differences between countries remain or widen as economically strong nations attract most AI investment.

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