COLLAPSE SCENARIO Privileges and regression: AI as an instrument of geopolitical control
Theme: Economic Models & Inequality

Theme 5 of 9

Economic Models & Inequality

How AI reshapes economies, wealth distribution, and economic power — including the role of data as an economic asset and the gap between richer and poorer countries and regions.


Trajectory

Deepening dependency and crisis

Main driver

Oligopoly control; bilateral concessions for AI access

Leading actors

Corporate oligopoly

State in 2040

Oligopoly controls economy; states subordinate

The economy and society are highly dependent on AI technologies controlled by a corporate oligopoly. Because of their economic and military dependence on major technology companies, the majority of states and populations tolerate this state of affairs. In the face of economic crises, some countries conclude bilateral agreements with tech giants to secure privileged access to AI technology in return for additional concessions. Smaller companies and governments are increasingly reliant on these corporations. The collapse of effective multilateral cooperation was accelerated by escalating international disputes over water and energy.

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