GROWTH SCENARIO Technology rivalry instead of collaboration: the race for AI supremacy
Theme: Labour Market & Automation

Theme 8 of 9

Labour Market & Automation

How AI-driven automation affects employment, skills, and economic security — including who benefits from productivity gains and who is left behind.


Trajectory

Sharpening displacement and political tension

Main driver

AI-driven automation without policy response

Leading actors

National governments (reactive)

State in 2040

Sharp inequality; no retraining policy

Growing dissatisfaction among the population at the loss of jobs due to automation is mentioned as a contributing factor to political tension and demands for regulation, particularly in the late 2020s. AI increasingly takes over manual and repetitive tasks. Income inequality sharpens through AI-driven automation. New upskilling initiatives focus one-sidedly on meeting the growing demand for AI development expertise.

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